19 June 2011

Don’t Count On The Hispanic Vote, Obimbo!

Maybe there IS a light at the end of the tunnel.

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Hispanics Won’t Bring Obama Victory in 2012


Much has been made of the importance of the Hispanic vote in helping elect Democrats, which President Obama sought to solidify with his recent trip to Puerto Rico.

But Merrill Matthews, a resident scholar with the Institute for Policy Innovation in Dallas, points to several factors that weigh against Obama and the Democrats counting on Hispanics to save them in next year’s elections.

"The Obama campaign thinks that growth could swing important states to the president," Matthews writes, but that thinking is "wishful and deluded" for these reasons:

• Only 10 million Hispanics voted in the 2008 election, 9 percent of all voters. The Hispanic population is younger than the general population, and younger people are less likely to vote. Plus, a large percentage of Hispanics aren’t old enough to vote. Matthews also points out that it’s not known how many of the country’s 50 million Hispanics are citizens eligible to vote, since the Census counts people, not voters.

• Hispanics live disproportionately in large-population blue states where their votes likely won’t influence the outcome. California, New York, Illinois, and New Jersey will probably deliver their electoral votes to the Democrat in the next presidential election with or without the Hispanic vote. Similarly, the Hispanics likely won’t take Texas and Arizona out of the red column.

• Hispanics are diverse. Puerto Ricans living on the mainland tend to vote Democratic, while Cuban-Americans tend to vote Republican. The largest Puerto Rican population is in New York, a solid blue state, and in swing-state Florida, Cubans outnumber Puerto Ricans by 400,000.

• Hispanics are more affected by a bad economy. With unemployment high among Hispanics, "those Hispanics who can vote may decide that Obama has had his chance," Matthews observes.

He concludes: "There is little reason to think, both for demographic reasons and the sour economy, that Hispanics will provide Obama with a victory in 2012."

Full story @ Hispanics Won’t Bring Obama Victory in 2012

2 comments:

  1. Not withstanding tradition one would think that such ethnic groups, having experienced our Fraud-In-Chief first hand, would at least just stay home if they can’t bring themselves to vote for the Republican. Why would anyone in his/her right mind purposefully try to secure four more years of this $#!t ? I can think of no un-natural disaster to strike this Nation as devastating as this neophyte, socialist charlatan unrestrained as a “Lame Duck”. A lot of people who vote democRAT suffer from the illusion that they will be entitled to some largess by the redistribution of wealth. When this democRAT gets done there will be NO wealth to redistribute!!!!! Perhaps awareness of this will penetrate the frontal lobe of [some], otherwise hardwired to vote democRAT, and lucidity will prevail-PERHAPS!

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  2. As Margaret Thatcher said, "Socialism is great, until you run out of other people's money."

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